JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. — An often overlooked clause in National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) policies has helped many homeowners in Missouri to finance required improvements that saved them from significant damage in the next event.
JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. — An often overlooked clause in National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) policies has helped many homeowners in Missouri to finance required improvements that saved them from significant damage in the next event.
INDIANAPOLIS., Ind. — Hoosiers, in a potentially dangerous severe-weather situation would you (and your family) prefer to be among the first or the last to know? A National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Weather Radio can make the difference.
MADISON, Wis. — The National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) had its roots in the 1800s as the country recognized the federal government must play a leading role in controlling and responding to floods.
The Puerto Rico Emergency Operations Center (PR EOC) remains partially activated 24/7, along with the Puerto Rico Emergency Management Agency (PREMA) Joint Information Center (partially activated), select ESF’s and US Coast Guard Liaison.
The Governor requested a Major Disaster Declaration and the Puerto Rican government has reported five (5) confirmed fatalities due to heavy rainfall and flooding.
Sixteen (16) shelters, with a population of 487 (in 16 municipalities) are open, while 14 preventative shelters remain open in twelve (12) municipalities.
Thirteen (13) rivers are flooded and a total of 43 major roads are closed due to flooding or mudslides.
The Puerto Rico Electric and Power Authority (PREPA) reports approximately 4,000 customers are without service and the Puerto Rico Aqueduct Sewer Authority (PRASA) reports about 18,644 customers are without service. Restoration of utilities is unknown at this time.
Public Assistance (PA) Preliminary Damage Assessments (PDAs) were completed in 18 municipalities, Individual Assistance (IA) PDAs were completed in 22 municipalities and PDAs are scheduled for 9 more municipalities, continuing through the weekend.
The Puerto Rican Army National Guard (PR ArNG) has 54 soldiers on State Active Duty (SAD) for water distribution, debris clearance, equipment transportation and civilian relocation. (FEMA Region II & CAD, PREMA, VITEMA, NWS, NGB SitRep #3)
Region V
Ohio
The State EOC is activated at Level II (Partial Operations) and Joint PDAs are scheduled to begin on October 26.
There are eight (8) fatalities and ten (10) injuries reported by the state.
There are no shelters reported open, while the US Department of Energy (DOE) reports there are 9,595 customers without power. Power restoration is expected to be completed by midnight, September 26.
Illinois
One (1) fatality is reported by the state.
IA PDAs were completed and PA PDAs are scheduled to begin on September 29.
Indiana
The State EOC is activated at Level IV (Normal Operations) and Joint PDAs were completed in five (5) counties and are ongoing in two (2) counties.
There are eight (8) fatalities and 19 injuries reported by the state.
There is one (1) shelter open with a population of 95, and the US DOE reports there are 6,186 customers remaining without power. (Region V Operations Report, Sep 25; DOE, Sep 25; NSS Shelter Report, Sep 25)
FEMA Region VI
Louisiana
The Governor’s Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness (GOHSEP) is activated at Level III (Emergency Operations).
There are five (5) fatalities reported by the state.
There are seven (7) shelters open with a population of 430, and the US DOE reports 12,287 customers are still without power.
Nineteen (19) of 21 PDAs are completed and there are no reported shortfalls or critical issues at this time.
There are 14 Disaster Recovery Centers (DRCs) and two (2) Mobile Disaster Recovery Centers (MDRCs) in support of Hurricane Gustav/Ike recovery efforts. (SLB, Sep 25; NSS Shelter Report, Sep 25; DOE, Sep 25)
Texas
The State Operations Center (SOC) is activated at Level I, 24/7 Operations.
There are 19 fatalities reported by the state.
There are 66 shelters open with a population of 4,653 and US DOE reports that 482,840 customers remain without power, with the highest percentages in Harris (393,251), Galveston (28,098), Brazoria (23,013) and Jefferson (less than 888) Counties.
FEMA continues to supply commodities to the Texas State-managed Resource Staging Area.
There are seven (7) Disaster Recovery Center (DRCs) and 13 Mobile Disaster Recovery Center (MDRCs) operational in the affected areas. (NSS Shelter Report, Sep 25; DOE, Sep 25; SLB, Sep 25)
Presidio, TX Levee Issue Update:
The release of water from the Luis Leon Reservoir in Chihuahua, Mexico is reduced and hardening of the levees on the U.S. side of the border is complete. (NOC Awareness Report, Sep 25; FEMA HQ)
Nothing significant to report. (FEMA HQ)
Atlantic/Caribbean:
Tropical Storm Kyle
At 5:00 a.m. EDT, the center of Tropical Storm (TS) Kyle was located about 510 miles south-southwest of Bermuda.
TS Kyle is moving toward the north near 12 mph and a turn toward the north-northwest, accompanied by a gradual increase in forward speed, is expected later today and on Saturday, September 27. On this track, the center of TS Kyle and the strongest winds are forecast to remain west of Bermuda.
Reports from a US Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph, with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and TS Kyle could become a hurricane by Saturday, September 27.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles, mainly east of the center, and the minimum central pressure recently measured by reconnaissance aircraft was 997 mb (29.44 inches).
Extratropical Low #1 - Low Potential for Tropical Cyclone Formation
As of 2:00 a.m. EDT, September 26, a well-defined, non-tropical low pressure system has moved inland over northeastern South Carolina and is located about midway between Myrtle Beach and Florence.
Strong winds, coastal flooding, high surf and dangerous rip currents will gradually subside along the coasts of North and South Carolina today, but will continue along portions of the US mid-Atlantic coast during the next day or two.
Extratropical Low #2 - Low Potential for Tropical Cyclone Formation
As of 2:00 a.m. EDT, September 26, an area of disturbed weather, located in the Bay of Campeche, is moving slowly eastward toward the Yucatan Peninsula. There are some signs of organization, but this system is expected to move inland over the Western Yucatan before any significant development can occur.
The system could still bring heavy rains to portions of southern Mexico and the Yucatan Peninsula during the next couple of days.
Eastern Pacific:
There is no tropical cyclone activity expected in the next 24-48 hours.
Western Pacific:
There is no tropical cyclone activity affecting United States Territories. (NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
National Fire Activity as of Thursday, September 25, 2008:
National Wildfire Preparedness Level: 2
Initial attack activity: Light (67)
New large fires: 3
Uncontained large fires: 6
Large fires contained: 0
States with large fires: CA, OR (NIFC)
Predictive Weather: Warm and dry across the southwest and central Rockies as high pressure continues to dominate across the Four Corners region. Southwest winds of 20-30 mph across much of the Great Basin westward to the Sierra Range in eastern California are forecast. Dry and warm across parts of the Ohio Valley across the northern Florida Panhandle. Heavy rains and strong winds are expected as a coastal storm moves onshore across the Carolinas up through the mid-Atlantic Seaboard. Cool, onshore flow across the Pacific Northwest with widespread showers. (NIFC)
Puerto Rico: The Governor of Puerto Rico requested a Major Disaster Declaration as a result of Severe Flooding beginning September 21, 2008 and continuing. The Governor is requesting Individual Assistance for eight municipalities and Hazard Mitigation for the entire Commonwealth. (FEMA HQ)
South
A low pressure system will bring rough seas, strong winds, storm surge and beach erosion from the North Carolina coast south through Florida.
Rain from this system is forecast to spread inland into eastern Georgia and much of South and North Carolina during the day today.
The winds, surge and waves at the coast should begin to diminish tonight.
Northeast
By this evening, rain will continue into the I-95 corridor and move northeast into southern New England and strong winds, rough seas, storm surge and beach erosion will occur from Cape Cod southward to Virginia today and tomorrow. (NWS, Media Sources)
The Puerto Rico Emergency Operations Center (PR EOC) is partially activated 24/7, along with the Puerto Rico Emergency Management Agency (PREMA) Joint Information Center (partially activated), select ESF’s and US Coast Guard Liaison.
The Governor has declared a State of Emergency and the Puerto Rican government has reported five (5) confirmed fatalities and zero (0) injuries due to heavy rainfall and flooding.
Seventeen (17) shelters, with a population of 521 (in 16 municipalities) are open, while 14 preventative shelters remain open in twelve (12) municipalities. (FEMA Region II SPOT Report, Sep 24)
Thirteen (13) rivers are flooded and a total of 47 major roads in 27 municipalities are closed due to flooding or mudslides.
The Puerto Rico Electric and Power Authority (PREPA) reports approximately 4,000 (0.28%) customers are without service and the Puerto Rico Aqueduct Sewer Authority (PRASA) reports about 37,303 (2.99%) customers are without service. Restoration of utilities is unknown at this time.
Public schools remain closed in 14 municipalities due to heavy rains and flooding.
Joint IA and PA Preliminary Damage Assessments (PDAs) will began yesterday, September 24, in 12 municipalities with PA and IA PDAs requested for an additional 13 municipalities. Also, facilities are being pre-identified for a potential JFO.
The Puerto Rican Army National Guard (PR ArNG) has 54 soldiers on State Active Duty (SAD) for water distribution, debris clearance, equipment transportation and civilian relocation. There are 7,893 personnel available statewide and 18,821 personnel available regionwide. (FEMA Region II & CAD, PREMA, VITEMA, NWS, NGB SitRep #3)
Region V
Ohio
The State EOC is activated at Level II (Partial Operations).
There are seven (7) fatalities and one (1) injury reported.
There are no shelters reported open, while the US Department of Energy (DOE) reported there are 9,595 customers without power. Power restoration is expected to be completed in the next 24 - 72 hours. (Region V Operations Report Sep 24, DOE Sep 24, NSS Shelter Report, Sep 24)
Indiana
The State EOC is activated at Level IV (Normal Operations) and Joint PDAs have been completed in five (5) counties, while two (2) counties continue to assess damages from the severe weather.
There are eight (8) fatalities and 19 injuries reported.
There is one (1) shelter open with a population of 75, and the US DOE reported there are 6,186 customers remain without power. (Region V Operations Report, Sep 24; DOE, Sep 24; NSS Shelter Report, Sep 24)
FEMA Region VI
Louisiana
The Governor’s Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness (GOHSEP) is activated at Level III (Emergency Operations).
There are five (5) fatalities and zero (0) injuries reported.
There are five (5) shelters open with a population of 343, and the US DOE reported 12,287 customers are still without power.
There are 14 Disaster Recovery Centers (DRCs) and two (2) Mobile Disaster Recovery Centers (MDRCs) in support of Hurricane Gustav/Ike recovery efforts. (SLB, Sep 23; NSS Shelter Report, Sep 23; DOE, Sep23)
Texas
The State Operations Center (SOC) is activated at Level I, 24/7 Operations.
There are 19 fatalities and zero (0) injuries reported.
There are 65 shelters open with a population of 5,638, and US DOE reports that 502,637 customers remain without power.
FEMA continues to supply commodities to the Texas State-managed Resource Staging Area.
There are seven (7) Disaster Recovery Center (DRCs) and 13 Mobile Disaster Recovery Center (MDRCs) operational in the state. (JFO SitRep #13; NSS Shelter Report, Sep 23; DOE, Sep 23; SLB, Sep 23)
Presidio, TX Levee Issue Update:
Local gauge readings and flow rates of the Rio Grande River at the Presidio Port of Entry (POE) continue to decrease as the water release rate from the Luis Leon Reservoir in Chihuahua, Mexico was reduced to 600 cubic meters per second.
The International Boundary and Water Commission (IBWC) reported the levees are holding, but levee integrity remains a concern.
Levee mitigation work continues, with over 25,000 sandbags filled and placed on the existing levee to add support. (NOC Awareness Report, Sep 24; NSS Shelter Report, Sep 24; DOE, Sep 24)
Nothing significant to report. (FEMA HQ)
Atlantic/Caribbean:
93L - High Potential for Tropical Cyclone Formation
As of 2:00 a.m. EDT, September 25, another well-defined low pressure system, centered about 140 miles east-northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands, is moving northward at 10-to-15-mph.
Thunderstorm activity has increased and become better organized during the past several hours, and upper-level winds are expected to gradually become more favorable for a tropical depression to develop during the next day or so. In addition, the threat for heavy rainfall, associated floods and mudslides over Hispaniola, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands will continue through today.
Extratropical Low - High Potential for Tropical Cyclone Formation
As of 2:00 a.m. EDT, September 25, a well-defined surface low pressure system, centered about 225 miles southeast of the South Carolina-North Carolina border, is moving slowly westward. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized this morning, and this system could develop into a subtropical or tropical cyclone later today.
Regardless of whether or not this system becomes a subtropical or tropical cyclone, strong winds, coastal flooding, high surf and dangerous rip currents will continue along portions of the US east coast during the next couple of days. Outer rain bands are already spreading onshore on the southeastern coast of North Carolina, and buoy and ship reports indicate winds in excess of 50 mph are occurring north and west of the center.
Eastern Pacific:
No tropical cyclone expected during the next 48 hours.
Western Pacific:
No tropical cyclone activity affecting United States Territories. (NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
National Fire Activity as of Wednesday, September 24, 2008:
National Wildfire Preparedness Level: 2
Initial attack activity: Light (67)
New large fires: 0
Uncontained large fires: 4
Large fires contained: 0
States with large fires: CA, NV, OR
Predictive Weather: A cold front will move across the Pacific Northwest, bringing cloudy and cooler conditions, along with showers along the coast. However, further south across northeast California and Nevada, this system will bring gusty southwest winds of 20-35 mph with low humidity. Gradual warming and drying across the Southwest and into the Central Rockies as high pressure strengthens across the Four Corners region. Some of this warm, dry air will also spread further east, across the Ohio Valley and into much of the Southeast, except for coastal areas where heavy rain is expected. (NIFC, NICC)
Illinois: The Governor of Illinois requested a Major Disaster Declaration for the State of Illinois as a result of Severe Storm and Flooding from September 13, 2008 and continuing. The request includes Individual Assistance for 7 counties (Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy, Kane, LaSalle and Will) and Hazard Mitigation statewide.
Oklahoma: The Governor requested an expedited Major Disaster Declaration for the State of Oklahoma as a result of Severe Storms and Tornadoes that took place on September 11, 2008. The request includes Individual Assistance and Public Assistance (including direct Federal assistance) for five counties (Alfalfa, Grant, Kay, Major and Woods) and Hazard Mitigation statewide.
Amendment #10 to FEMA-1785-DR-FL adds Martin County for Individual Assistance; Alachua, Gadsden, and Liberty Counties for Individual Assistance (already designated for Public Assistance) and Lee County for Public Assistance (already designated for Individual Assistance). (FEMA HQ)
Northeast
Strong winds, heavy surf and beach erosion will affect beaches through the Mid-Atlantic region on Wednesday and Thursday.
Wind gusts around Tidewater, Virginia could exceed 40 mph by late in the day today, with tides running 1-to-3-feet above normal.
South
Heavy surf, gusty winds, dangerous rip currents and increasing rain in the coastal areas in North Carolina, especially the Outer Banks, are forecast for today.
Midwest
A decreasing cold front may still trigger isolated showers and thunderstorms from the Great Lakes to the central Plains.
A few storms may become severe over parts of southern Iowa and Nebraska. (NOAA, National Weather Service, Various Media Sources)
The Puerto Rico Emergency Operations Center (PR EOC) is partially activated 24/7, along with the Puerto Rico Emergency Management Agency (PREMA) Joint Information Center (partially activated), select ESF’s and US Coast Guard Liaison.
The Governor has declared a State of Emergency and the Puerto Rican government has reported four (4) confirmed fatalities and zero (0) injuries due to heavy rainfall and flooding.
Seventeen (17) shelters, with a population of 528 (in 15 municipalities) are open, while 14 preventative shelters remain open in twelve (12) municipalities. (FEMA Region II SPOT Report)
Thirteen (13) rivers are flooded and a total of 27 major roads in 17 municipalities are closed due to flooding or mudslides.
The Puerto Rico Electric and Power Authority (PREPA) reports approximately 5,800 (0.37%) customers are without service and the Puerto Rico Aqueduct Sewer Authority (PRASA) reports about 36,774 (2.94%) customers are without service. Restoration of utilities is unknown at this time.
Public schools remain closed in 14 municipalities due to heavy rains and flooding.
Joint IA and PA Preliminary Damage Assessments (PDAs) will begin today, September 24, in 12 municipalities with PA and IA PDAs requested for an additional 13 municipalities. Also, facilities are being pre-identified for a potential JFO. (FEMA Region II & CAD, PREMA, VITEMA, NWS)
Region V
Ohio
The State EOC is activated at Level II (Partial Operations).
There are seven (7) fatalities and one (1) injury reported.
There is one (1) shelter open with a population of 12 while the US Department of Energy (DOE) reported there are 25,309 customers without power. Power restoration is expected to be completed by early next week (Sep 29). (Region V Operations Report Sep 23, DOE Sep 23, NSS Shelter Report, Sep 23)
Indiana
The State EOC is activated at Level IV (Normal Operations) and Joint PDAs continue to assess damages from the severe weather.
There are eight (8) fatalities and 19 injuries reported.
There is one (1) shelter open with a population of six (6) and the US DOE reported there are 6,186 customers remain without power. (DOE, Sep 23; NSS Shelter Report, Sep 23)
FEMA Region VI
Louisiana
The Governor’s Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness (GOHSEP) is activated at Level III (Emergency Operations).
There are five (5) fatalities and zero (0) injuries reported.
There are seven (7) shelters open with a population of 489 and the US DOE reported 12,287 customers are still without power.
There are 14 Disaster Recovery Centers (DRCs) and two (2) Mobile Disaster Recovery Centers (MDRCs) in support of Hurricane Gustav/Ike recovery efforts. (SLB, Sep 23; NSS Shelter Report, Sep 23; DOE, Sep23)
Texas
The State Operations Center (SOC) is activated at Level I, 24/7 Operations.
There are 19 fatalities and zero (0) injuries reported.
There are 126 shelters open with a population of 11,937, and US DOE reports that 745,241 customers remain without power.
All FEMA-managed Points of Distribution (PODS) have been closed. FEMA continues to supply commodities to the Texas State-managed Resource Staging Area.
There are three (3) Disaster Recovery Center (DRCs) and 11 Mobile Disaster Recovery Center (MDRCs) located in Texas.
The City of Galveston will reopen today, September 24, and the US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) has established 28 Rights-of-Entry (ROE) sites for citizens to register their property for the Blue Roof Program. (JFO SitRep #13; NSS Shelter Report, Sep 23; DOE, Sep 23; SLB, Sep 23)
Presidio, TX Levee issue update:
Presidio County, along with the City of Presidio, continues efforts to mitigate the flood impacts from the Rio Grande River.
Over 1,300 sandbags are being placed on the existing levee to add support; in total, 6,500 sandbags are in place in all the problem areas. The Department of Defense (DoD) continues to provide CH-47 helicopter support to provide sandbags and supplies.
Helicopters are being used to fill in openings under bridges with large sandbags in an existing railroad right-of-way to create secondary levees.
Mexico has temporarily slowed the rate of water release from the Luis Leon Reservoir in order to allow workers time to shore up the Presidio levees.
The response priorities for this incident are to prevent levee failure, continue maintaining emergency shelter operations, ensure Public Health needs are addressed, providing water/wastewater services in the City/County if a catastrophic flood event occurs and providing for a rapid response for search and rescue should the levees fail. (TX SOC Rio Grande River Flood Event SITREP # 3, USNORTHCOM)
Atlantic/Caribbean:
93L - High Potential for Tropical Cyclone Development
As of 5:00 a.m. EDT, September 24, the broad area of low pressure over Hispaniola continues to generate a large area of cloudiness and showers, extending northward from the northeastern Caribbean Sea, across Hispaniola and Puerto Rico, and into the western Atlantic.
This system is interacting with land and has not yet developed a well-defined surface circulation, but atmospheric conditions remain favorable for development and a tropical depression could form later today or tonight as this system moves north of Hispaniola.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and the potential for life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are expected to continue over Hispaniola, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands today.
Heavy rains could also spread northward over the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas later today or tonight.
Eastern Pacific:
90L - Low Potential for Tropical Cyclone Development
As of 5:00 a.m. EDT, September 24, shower and thunderstorm activity has decreased in association with the surface low pressure system located approximately 430 miles south of the southern tip of Baja, California.
This system is expected to move west-northwestward over the next two days and further development, if any, should be slow to occur.
Western Pacific:
No tropical cyclone activity affecting United States Territories. (NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
National Fire Activity as of Tuesday, September 23, 2008:
National Wildfire Preparedness Level: 2
Initial attack activity: Light (70)
New large fires: 0
Uncontained large fires: 4
Large fires contained: 1
States with large fires: CA, NV, OR
Predictive Fire: It will become warmer and drier from Texas westward across the Southwest as high pressure starts to build in across the Four Coners region. The Northern Rockies area is also forecast to dry out and become a little warmer. A cold front will approach the Pacific Northwest and northern California, bringing a cool westerly onshore flow, along with increasing high clouds. Widespread showers and thunderstorms will continue again across Florida. Elsewhere, the forecast calls for mainly seasonable, early fall conditions. (NIFC, NICC)
The President signed a Disaster Declaration, FEMA-1795-DR, for severe storms and flooding that occurred in Indiana, September 23, 2008 and continuing. Three (3) counties (Lake, LaPorte and Porter) are eligible for Individual Assistance and Hazard Mitigation is approved statewide. The FCO will be Stephen M. DeBlasio, Sr. (FEMA HQ)
Midwest
A slow moving front may produce showers and thunderstorms from the Upper Mississippi Valley to the central Plains. Parts of the Eastern Dakotas and Minnesota may see heavy rain.
Flood Warnings continue for numerous rivers in Illinois, Indiana and Michigan.
Highs will range from the low to mid 60s in western North Dakota to the mid-80s in the Ohio Valley.
Northeast
Pleasant weather is forecast for most of the region with cool mornings quickly warming into sunny afternoons.
High temperatures will range from the upper 50s in northern Maine to the low 80s in West Virginia.
South
High pressure over New England combining with low pressure off the Southeast Coast will bring gusty onshore winds along the Carolina Coasts. Heavy surf, rip currents and beach erosion are possible.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible in southern Texas and the Florida Peninsula.
Numerous Flood Warnings remain in effect for portions of Texas, Florida, Arkansas and Louisiana.
High temperatures will range from the 70s in the southern Appalachians to around 90 in parts of Texas, Florida and Louisiana.
West
Most of the region will be dry except for a few showers over eastern Montana.
Eastern Washington, eastern Oregon and Idaho may see below freezing temperatures.
Temperatures will range from the 30s in the higher mountains to the 100s in the Mohave and Sonoran Deserts. (NOAA, National Weather Service, Various Media Sources)
Region V
Illinois
FEMA Region VI
Louisiana
Texas
Presidio, TX Levee issue update: Presidio County, along with the City of Presidio, continues efforts to mitigate the flood impacts from the Rio Grande River.
Atlantic/Caribbean:
93L - High Potential for Tropical Cyclone Development
A broad area of low pressure centered over the eastern Dominican Republic continues to produce heavy rains over portions of the eastern Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands. This system has changed little in organization during the past several hours; however, upper-level winds are expected to become a little more conducive for development and this system has the potential to become a tropical depression at any time during the next day or two as it moves northwestward away from Hispaniola. Heavy rainfall with potentially life-threatening flash flooding is expected to continue over the area through early Wednesday.
Eastern Pacific:
90L - Medium Potential for Tropical Cyclone Development
A broad area of low pressure centered about 225 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing very limited and disorganized shower activity. Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur as it moves west-northwestward.
Western Pacific:
No tropical cyclone activity affecting United States Territories. (NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
National Fire Activity as of Monday, September 22, 2008:
National Wildfire Preparedness Level: 2
Initial attack activity: Light (63)
New large fires: 0
Uncontained large fires: 5
Large fires contained: 2
States with large fires: CA, MT, OR
Predictive Fire: Clear weather with drier conditions is expected along the West coast, with light north/offshore winds across parts of northern California. Winds out of the southwest will increase across the Southwest and parts of the Great Basin Continued cool and moist weather will continue over much of the northern and central Rockies, with some snow across the higher terrain of Idaho and Montana. The Gulf States will have widespread showers and thunderstorms. Elsewhere, seasonable fall conditions will arrive a little early. (NIFC, NICC)
The Governor of Indiana requested a Major Disaster Declaration as a result of severe storms and flooding, beginning on Sept 12 and continuing.
The President approved Major Disaster Declaration (FEMA-1794-DR) for Mississippi as a result of Hurricane Gustav. (FEMA HQ)
Midwest
A cold front moving from the High Plains may bring scattered showers and thunderstorms, some severe, to the northern Plains today. Flood Warnings continue for numerous rivers in Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, and Michigan. Highs will range from the upper 60s in northeast Michigan to the upper 80s in western Kansas.
Northeast
Light showers may appear in parts of southern New England but the majority of the region will enjoy dry weather today. High temperatures will range from the mid-50s in northern Maine to the mid-80s in south-central Virginia and West Virginia.
South
Isolated showers and thunderstorms are forecast across the Carolina coasts, southern Georgia, the Florida Panhandle and upper Texas Gulf Coast. Numerous Flood Warnings remain in effect for portions of Texas, Florida and Louisiana. High temperatures will range from the mid-70s in the southern Appalachians to around 90 in parts of Texas and South Florida.
West
An area of low pressure may bring showers and thunderstorms to parts of the Pacific Northwest, Montana and Wyoming with more concentration over the Bitterroots and northwest Wyoming. Temperatures will range from the 40s in some northern mountain locations to the 100s in the Mohave and Sonoran Deserts. (NOAA, National Weather Service, Various Media Sources)
Region V
Illinois
Ohio
Indiana
FEMA Region VI
Louisiana
Texas
Presidio update:
The National Weather Service Flash Flood Warning remains in effect for the Rio Grande in Presidio County, Texas. Reservoir releases out of Luis Leon reservoir will continue into next week with considerable fluctuations in water levels; however, river flow has decreased since yesterday causing the river levels to lower temporarily.
Atlantic/Caribbean:
93L - High Potential for Tropical Cyclone Development
There has been little change in organization of the broad low pressure area located near western Puerto Rico; however, upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more favorable for development and the system could become a tropical depression later today as it moves slowly north or north-northwestward during the next couple of days. Regardless of whether this system becomes a tropical depression it will continue to produce very heavy rainfall over Puerto Rico and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands into Tuesday. Reports from Puerto Rico indicate that 10 to 20 inches of rain has already fallen on portions of the island and these rains have already produced flash floods and mudslides. (NWS)
Eastern Pacific:
90L - Medium Potential for Tropical Cyclone Development
A broad area of low pressure located about 225 miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Conditions appear to be marginally favorable for development as this system moves slowly west-northwestward during the next couple of days.
Area 1 - Low Potential for Tropical Cyclone Development
A small area of low pressure located just to the southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing limited and disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur due to strong upper-level winds. (NWS)
Western Pacific:
No tropical cyclone activity affecting United States Territories. (NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
National Fire Activity as of Sunday, September 21, 2008:
National Wildfire Preparedness Level: 2
Initial attack activity: Light (62)
New large fires: 2
Uncontained large fires: 7
Large fires contained: 1
States with large fires: CA, MT, OR
Predictive Fire: Thunderstorm activity today will be mainly across interior portions of the Pacific Northwest and northeastern California. These storms will be a mix of wet and dry, but this entire area should see a wetter transition to showers late today. Otherwise, it will be seasonably warm and dry across the Great Basin, Rockies, and much of the Northeast. Scattered showers and wet thunderstorms are forecast for most of the Southeast. (NIFC, NICC)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Midwest
An upper-level disturbance moving eastward in the Plains may trigger showers and thunderstorms, some severe, from the western Dakotas to western Kansas. Flood Warnings continue for numerous rivers in Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, and Michigan. Highs will be in the 60s in the northern Great Lakes to the 80s in the Ohio Valley.
Northeast
A cold front moving through the region may bring cloudiness and light rain from New England to the Chesapeake Bay. High temperatures will range from the 50s and 60s in Maine to the 70s in West Virginia.
South
An upper-level disturbance over the Mississippi Valley will bring more showers and scattered thunderstorms across parts of Arkansas, western Tennessee, Louisiana and western Alabama.
Numerous Flood Watches and Warnings remain in effect for portions of Texas and Louisiana.
High temperatures will range from the 70s and 80s in the Carolinas to the low 90s in Texas.
West
An upper-level disturbance over the high Plains will bring showers and scattered thunderstorms from Montana to Colorado and in northern Idaho and Washington. Temperatures will range from the 40s in the northern Rockies to the 100s in the Desert Southwest. (NOAA, National Weather Service, Various Media Sources)
Region V
Michigan
Illinois
Ohio
Indiana
FEMA Region VI
Louisiana
Texas
Presidio update: Reservoir releases out of Luis Leon reservoir will continue to next week with considerable fluctuations in water levels. Major flooding will continue; however, potential levee failure will not be a catastrophic event due to water level rising slowly. Mandatory evacuations of low-lying areas in effect; approximately 4,500 residents remain at risk. Five Army helicopters and personnel are providing support and placement of “super sacks” sandbags to add an additional foot on top of the levee.
Atlantic/Caribbean:
Invest 93 - Medium Potential for Development
A tropical wave accompanied by a surface low pressure system over the northeastern Caribbean Sea is producing widespread cloudiness and showers over the Lesser Antilles and adjacent Caribbean and Atlantic waters. This system continues to show signs of organization and upper-level winds are expected to become a little more favorable for development over the next couple of days. A tropical depression could form during this time as the system moves slowly northwestward.
Area 2 - Low Potential for Development
The broad area of low pressure previously over the southwestern Caribbean Sea has moved inland over Nicaragua. No development of this system is expected.
Eastern Pacific:
Invest 90 - Medium Potential for Development
A broad low pressure area is centered about 275 miles southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. This system has changed little in organization over the past several hours; however, upper-level winds remain marginally favorable for the development of a tropical depression during the next couple of days as the system moves slowly toward the northwest parallel to the coast of Mexico.
Western Pacific:
No tropical cyclone activity affecting United States Territories.(NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
National Fire Activity as of Saturday, September 20, 2008:
National Wildfire Preparedness Level: 2
Initial attack activity: Light (59)
New large fires: 1
Uncontained large fires: 6
Large fires contained: 1
States with large fires: CA, MT, OR
Predictive Fire: Thunderstorm activity today will be mainly across interior portions of the Pacific Northwest and northeastern California. These storms will be a mix of wet and dry, but this entire area should see a wetter transition to showers later today. Otherwise, it will be seasonably warm and dry across the Great Basin, Rockies, and much of the Northeast. Scattered showers and wet thunderstorms are forecast for most of the Southeast. (NIFC, NICC)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Midwest
Most of the Midwest will be dry except for isolated thunderstorms and showers over the Great Lakes and parts southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. Flood Warnings continue for numerous rivers in Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, and Michigan. Highs will be in the 70s and 80s for most of the region.
Northeast
Warm and dry conditions are forecasted for most of the Northeast. High temperatures will range from the 60s in northern Maine to the mid 70s in Washington, D.C.
South
Scattered thunderstorms and showers are forecasted along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts, as well as the lower Mississippi Valley. Heavy rain is possible across southern Florida. Numerous Flood Watches and Warnings remain in effect for portions of Texas and Louisiana. High temperatures will range from the mid 70s in Raleigh, NC to the mid 80s in central Florida.
West
Low pressure over the region will cause temperatures to be 10 to 20 degrees below average.
Rain showers are forecasted for the northern Rockies and snow is possible for the highest mountains of the Cascades. Red Flag Warning remains in effect for most of Idaho until 8:00 a.m. EDT today.
Temperatures will range from the low 60s in Washington to the mid 90s in Nevada. (NOAA, National Weather Service, Various Media Sources)
Region IV
Kentucky
Region V
Michigan
Illinois
Ohio
Indiana
FEMA Region VI
Louisiana
Texas
Presidio update: City of Presidio issued mandatory evacuation order for low lying areas due to erosion of levees on The Rio Grande. Governor Perry has been in contact with Mexico’s ambassador and the U.S. State Department regarding this disaster. A USACE hydrologist is on scene to assist. The state of Texas requested a Federal emergency declaration today. Due to water over the bridge, the international border crossing was closed and will remain closed until further notice. About 4,500 residents remain at risk of flooding if US levees break. (TX Spot Report #2D 11:00 a.m. CDT September 19, 2008)
Atlantic/Caribbean:
Invest 93 - Medium Potential for Development
A westward-moving tropical wave accompanied by a broad surface low pressure system over the southeastern Caribbean Sea is producing widespread cloudiness and showers over the Lesser Antilles and adjacent Caribbean and Atlantic waters. This system has changed little in organization during the past several hours. While upper-level winds are currently unfavorable, they are expected to become more conducive for some development to occur over the next couple of days.
Area 2 - Low Potential for Development
A broad area of low pressure accompanied by disorganized shower activity has formed over the western Caribbean Sea just east of the Honduras-Nicaragua border. Upper-level winds are currently not favorable for additional development.
Eastern Pacific:
Invest 90 - Medium Potential for Development
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south through southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is continuing to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days as it moves slowly toward the west or west-northwest. Locally heavy rains associated with this system are possible along the Pacific coast of Central America and southeastern Mexico.
Western Pacific:
No tropical cyclone activity affecting United States Territories.(NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
An earthquake, magnitude 4.2, occurred on Hawaii’s Big Island, 20 miles southwest of Hawaiian Beaches and 26 miles south from Hilo, HI at a depth of 5.8 miles at 11:59 p.m. EDT on September 19, 2008. No damage or injuries are reported at this time and no tsunami was generated. (U.S. Geological Survey, Hawaiian Volcano Observatory, Hawaii National Park, Hawaii)
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
National Fire Activity as of Friday, September 19, 2008:
National Wildfire Preparedness Level: 2
Initial attack activity: Light (60)
New large fires: 2
Uncontained large fires: 6
Large fires contained: 0
States with large fires: CA, MT, OR
Predictive Fire: Thunderstorm activity today will be mainly across interior portions of the Pacific Northwest and northeastern California. These storms will be a mix of wet and dry, but this entire area should see a wetter transition to showers late today. Otherwise, it will be seasonably warm and dry across the Great Basin, Rockies, and much of the Northeast. Scattered showers and wet thunderstorms are forecast for most of the Southeast. (NIFC, NICC)
The Governor of Texas requested an Emergency Declaration as a result of severe storms and flooding causing a levee overflow beginning on September 7, 2008 and continuing.
The Governor of Alabama requested a Major Disaster Declaration as a result of Hurricane Ike, beginning on September 12, 2008 and continuing. (FEMA HQ)
